Enhancing cancer prediction in challenging screen-detected incident lung nodules using time-series deep learning.

Journal: Computerized medical imaging and graphics : the official journal of the Computerized Medical Imaging Society
Published Date:

Abstract

Lung cancer screening (LCS) using annual computed tomography (CT) scanning significantly reduces mortality by detecting cancerous lung nodules at an earlier stage. Deep learning algorithms can improve nodule malignancy risk stratification. However, they have typically been used to analyse single time point CT data when detecting malignant nodules on either baseline or incident CT LCS rounds. Deep learning algorithms have the greatest value in two aspects. These approaches have great potential in assessing nodule change across time-series CT scans where subtle changes may be challenging to identify using the human eye alone. Moreover, they could be targeted to detect nodules developing on incident screening rounds, where cancers are generally smaller and more challenging to detect confidently. Here, we show the performance of our Deep learning-based Computer-Aided Diagnosis model integrating Nodule and Lung imaging data with clinical Metadata Longitudinally (DeepCAD-NLM-L) for malignancy prediction. DeepCAD-NLM-L showed improved performance (AUC = 88%) against models utilizing single time-point data alone. DeepCAD-NLM-L also demonstrated comparable and complementary performance to radiologists when interpreting the most challenging nodules typically found in LCS programs. It also demonstrated similar performance to radiologists when assessed on out-of-distribution imaging dataset. The results emphasize the advantages of using time-series and multimodal analyses when interpreting malignancy risk in LCS.

Authors

  • Shahab Aslani
    Centre for Medical Image Computing, University College London, London, UK; Department of Respiratory Medicine, University College London, London, UK.
  • Pavan Alluri
    MANAS AI, London, UK.
  • Eyjolfur Gudmundsson
    Centre for Medical Image Computing, University College London, London, UK.
  • Edward Chandy
    Centre for Medical Image Computing, University College London, London, UK.
  • John McCabe
    Centre for Medical Image Computing, University College London, London, UK.
  • Anand Devaraj
    Department of Radiology, Royal Brompton and Harefield NHS Foundation Trust,, London, UK; National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
  • Carolyn Horst
    From the School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King's College London, Becket House, 1 Lambeth Palace Road, London SE1 7EU, England (C.H.); Guy's and St Thomas' Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, England (C.H.); and Brigham and Women's Hospital/Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Mass (M.N.).
  • Sam M Janes
    Lungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK.
  • Rahul Chakkara
    MANAS AI, London, UK.
  • Daniel C Alexander
    Centre for Medical Image Computing and Dept of Computer Science, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK.
  • Arjun Nair
    Dept of Radiology, University College London Hospital, London, UK.
  • Joseph Jacob
    Dept of Respiratory Medicine, University College London, London, UK j.jacob@ucl.ac.uk.