Prediction of coronary heart disease based on klotho levels using machine learning.

Journal: Scientific reports
Published Date:

Abstract

The diagnostic accuracy for coronary heart disease (CHD) needs to be improved. Some studies have indicated that klotho protein levels upon admission comprise an independent risk factor for CHD and have clinical value for predicting CHD. This study aimed to construct a tool to predict CHD risk by analyzing klotho levels and clinically relevant indicators by using a machine learning (ML) method. We randomly assigned the dataset of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2007-2016 to training and test sets at a ratio of 70:30. We evaluated the ability of five models constructed using logistic regression, neural networks, random forest, support vector machine, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting to predict CHD. We determined their predictive performance using the following parameters: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, accuracy, precision, recall, F1, and Brier scores. We analyzed data from 11,583 persons in US NHANES and entered 13 potential predictive variables, including klotho and other clinically relevant indicators, into the feature screening process. We established that the five ML models could predict the onset of CHD. The RF model showed the best predictive performance among the five ML models.

Authors

  • Yuan Yao
    Department of Food Science, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, 47907, USA. Electronic address: yao1@purdue.edu.
  • Ying Zhao
    Department of Pharmacy, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
  • Haifeng Li
    School of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China.
  • Yanlin Han
    Shijiazhuang Information Engineering Vocational College, Shijiazhuang, China.
  • Yue Wu
    Key Laboratory of Luminescence and Real-Time Analytical Chemistry (Ministry of Education), College of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400716, China.
  • Renwei Guo
    Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fenyang Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, Fenyang, 032200, Shanxi, China.
  • Mingfeng Ma
    Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fenyang Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, Fenyang, 032200, Shanxi, China. mamingfeng106@sina.com.
  • Lixia Bu
    Department of Geratology, Fenyang Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, Fenyang, 032200, Shanxi, China. Bulixia106@sina.com.