Using machine learning to investigate the influence of the prenatal chemical exposome on neurodevelopment of young children.

Journal: Neurotoxicology
Published Date:

Abstract

Research investigating the prenatal chemical exposome and child neurodevelopment has typically focused on a limited number of chemical exposures and controlled for sociodemographic factors and maternal mental health. Emerging machine learning approaches may facilitate more comprehensive examinations of the contributions of chemical exposures, sociodemographic factors, and maternal mental health to child neurodevelopment. A machine learning pipeline that utilized feature selection and ranking was applied to investigate which common prenatal chemical exposures and sociodemographic factors best predict neurodevelopmental outcomes in young children. Data from 406 maternal-child pairs enrolled in the APrON study were used. Maternal concentrations of 32 environmental chemical exposures (i.e., phthalates, bisphenols, per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), metals, trace elements) measured during pregnancy and 11 sociodemographic factors, as well as measures of maternal mental health and urinary creatinine were entered into the machine learning pipeline. The pipeline, which consisted of a RReliefF variable selection algorithm and support vector machine regression model, was used to identify and rank the best subset of variables predictive of cognitive, language, and motor development outcomes on the Bayley Scales of Infant Development-Third Edition (Bayley-III) at 2 years of age. Bayley-III cognitive scores were best predicted using 29 variables, resulting in a correlation coefficient of r = 0.27 (R=0.07). For language outcomes, 45 variables led to the best result (r = 0.30; R=0.09), whereas for motor outcomes 33 variables led to the best result (r = 0.28, R=0.09). Environmental chemicals, sociodemographic factors, and maternal mental health were found to be highly ranked predictors of cognitive, language, and motor development in young children. Our findings demonstrate the potential of machine learning approaches to identify and determine the relative importance of different predictors of child neurodevelopmental outcomes. Future developmental neurotoxicology research should consider the prenatal chemical exposome as well as sample characteristics such as sociodemographic factors and maternal mental health as important predictors of child neurodevelopment.

Authors

  • Gillian England-Mason
    Department of Pediatrics, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada; Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
  • Sarah J MacEachern
    Department of Pediatrics, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
  • Kimberly Amador
    Department of Radiology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
  • Munawar Hussain Soomro
    Department of Pediatrics, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada; Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
  • Anthony J F Reardon
    Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
  • Amy M MacDonald
    Alberta Centre for Toxicology, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
  • David W Kinniburgh
    Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; Alberta Centre for Toxicology, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
  • Nicole Letourneau
    From the Division of Pediatric Neurology (R.S., L.C.), Department of Pediatrics, University of Alberta; Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute and Department of Clinical Neurosciences (K.A.); Department of Clinical Neurosciences (N.D.F.); Department of Pediatrics and Clinical Neurosciences (M.D.), University of Calgary, Alberta; Departments of Pediatrics and Neurology/Neurosurgery (M.I.S., M.O.), McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals (A.P.B.), NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (M.J.R.), Boston Children's Hospital and Department of Neurology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Neonatology (E.S.), Soroka University Medical Center and Faculty of Health sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel; Department of Neonatology (L.S.V.), University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands; Departments of Pediatrics and Community Health Sciences (D.D.), Owerko Centre at the Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute, Hotchkiss Brain Institute, Cummings School of Medicine; Faculty of Nursing and Cumming School of Medicine (N.L.), Departments of Pediatrics, Psychiatry and Community Health Sciences; Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute and Department of Clinical Neurosciences (P.M.); Departments of Clinical Neurosciences (M.D.H.), Community Health Sciences, Medicine and Radiology, Hotchkiss Brain Institute and Department of Pediatrics (A.K.), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
  • Gerald F Giesbrecht
    Department of Pediatrics, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada; Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada; Hotchkiss Brain Institute, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada; Department of Psychology, Faculty of Arts, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta; Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
  • Jonathan W Martin
    Science for Life Laboratory, Department of Environmental Science, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Nils D Forkert
    Department of Radiology, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada. nils.forkert@ucalgary.ca.
  • Deborah Dewey
    From the Division of Pediatric Neurology (R.S., L.C.), Department of Pediatrics, University of Alberta; Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute and Department of Clinical Neurosciences (K.A.); Department of Clinical Neurosciences (N.D.F.); Department of Pediatrics and Clinical Neurosciences (M.D.), University of Calgary, Alberta; Departments of Pediatrics and Neurology/Neurosurgery (M.I.S., M.O.), McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals (A.P.B.), NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (M.J.R.), Boston Children's Hospital and Department of Neurology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Neonatology (E.S.), Soroka University Medical Center and Faculty of Health sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel; Department of Neonatology (L.S.V.), University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands; Departments of Pediatrics and Community Health Sciences (D.D.), Owerko Centre at the Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute, Hotchkiss Brain Institute, Cummings School of Medicine; Faculty of Nursing and Cumming School of Medicine (N.L.), Departments of Pediatrics, Psychiatry and Community Health Sciences; Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute and Department of Clinical Neurosciences (P.M.); Departments of Clinical Neurosciences (M.D.H.), Community Health Sciences, Medicine and Radiology, Hotchkiss Brain Institute and Department of Pediatrics (A.K.), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Alberta, Canada.