External Testing of a Deep Learning Model to Estimate Biologic Age Using Chest Radiographs.

Journal: Radiology. Artificial intelligence
Published Date: Sep 1, 2024

Abstract

Purpose To assess the prognostic value of a deep learning-based chest radiographic age (hereafter, CXR-Age) model in a large external test cohort of Asian individuals. Materials and Methods This single-center, retrospective study included chest radiographs from consecutive, asymptomatic Asian individuals aged 50-80 years who underwent health checkups between January 2004 and June 2018. This study performed a dedicated external test of a previously developed CXR-Age model, which predicts an age adjusted based on the risk of all-cause mortality. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of CXR-Age for all-cause, cardiovascular, lung cancer, and respiratory disease mortality were assessed using multivariable Cox or Fine-Gray models, and their added values were evaluated by likelihood ratio tests. Results A total of 36 924 individuals (mean chronological age, 58 years ± 7 [SD]; CXR-Age, 60 years ± 5; 22 352 male) were included. During a median follow-up of 11.0 years, 1250 individuals (3.4%) died, including 153 cardiovascular (0.4%), 166 lung cancer (0.4%), and 98 respiratory (0.3%) deaths. CXR-Age was a significant risk factor for all-cause (adjusted HR at chronological age of 50 years, 1.03; at 60 years, 1.05; at 70 years, 1.07), cardiovascular (adjusted HR, 1.11), lung cancer (adjusted HR for individuals who formerly smoked, 1.12; for those who currently smoke, 1.05), and respiratory disease (adjusted HR, 1.12) mortality ( < .05 for all). The likelihood ratio test demonstrated added prognostic value of CXR-Age to clinical factors, including chronological age for all outcomes ( < .001 for all). Conclusion Deep learning-based chest radiographic age was associated with various survival outcomes and had added value to clinical factors in asymptomatic Asian individuals, suggesting its generalizability. Conventional Radiography, Thorax, Heart, Lung, Mediastinum, Outcomes Analysis, Quantification, Prognosis, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) © RSNA, 2024 See also the commentary by Adams and Bressem in this issue.

Authors

  • Jong Hyuk Lee
    From the Department of Radiology and Institute of Radiation Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital and College of Medicine, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul 03080, Republic of Korea (J.G.N., E.J.H., J.M.G., C.M.P.); Lunit Incorporated, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.P.); Department of Radiology, Armed Forces Seoul Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (J.H.L.); Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea (K.N.J.); Department of Radiology, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Republic of Korea (K.Y.L.); Department of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, Calif (T.H.V., J.H.S.); and Department of Industrial & Information Systems Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.H.).
  • Dongheon Lee
    Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering, Graduate School, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea.
  • Michael T Lu
    Cardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.
  • Vineet K Raghu
    Department of Computer Science, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
  • Jin Mo Goo
    Department of Radiology, Seoul National College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Korea (H.C., S.H.Y., S.J.P., C.M.P., J.H.L., H. Kim, E.J.H., S.J.Y., J.G.N., C.H.L., J.M.G.); CHESS Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China (Q.X., J.L.); Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.L.); Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon Medical Center, Incheon, Korea (J.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, Seoul Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (Y.K.L.); Department of Radiology, National Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (H. Ko); Department of Radiology, Myongji Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.K.); and Department of Radiology, Chonnam National University Hospital, Gwanju, Korea (Y.H.K.).
  • Yunhee Choi
    Medical Research Collaborating Center, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
  • Seung Ho Choi
    Department of Electronic and IT Media Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul 139-743, Korea.
  • Hyungjin Kim
    Department of Radiology, Seoul National College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Korea (H.C., S.H.Y., S.J.P., C.M.P., J.H.L., H. Kim, E.J.H., S.J.Y., J.G.N., C.H.L., J.M.G.); CHESS Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China (Q.X., J.L.); Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.L.); Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon Medical Center, Incheon, Korea (J.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, Seoul Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (Y.K.L.); Department of Radiology, National Medical Center, Seoul, Korea (H. Ko); Department of Radiology, Myongji Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Korea (K.H.K.); and Department of Radiology, Chonnam National University Hospital, Gwanju, Korea (Y.H.K.).

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