Deep learning predicts cardiovascular disease risks from lung cancer screening low dose computed tomography.
Journal:
Nature communications
Published Date:
May 20, 2021
Abstract
Cancer patients have a higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality than the general population. Low dose computed tomography (LDCT) for lung cancer screening offers an opportunity for simultaneous CVD risk estimation in at-risk patients. Our deep learning CVD risk prediction model, trained with 30,286 LDCTs from the National Lung Cancer Screening Trial, achieves an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.871 on a separate test set of 2,085 subjects and identifies patients with high CVD mortality risks (AUC of 0.768). We validate our model against ECG-gated cardiac CT based markers, including coronary artery calcification (CAC) score, CAD-RADS score, and MESA 10-year risk score from an independent dataset of 335 subjects. Our work shows that, in high-risk patients, deep learning can convert LDCT for lung cancer screening into a dual-screening quantitative tool for CVD risk estimation.
Authors
Keywords
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Cardiovascular Diseases
Clinical Trials as Topic
Coronary Vessels
Datasets as Topic
Deep Learning
Electrocardiography
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Humans
Image Processing, Computer-Assisted
Lung
Lung Neoplasms
Male
Mass Screening
Middle Aged
Retrospective Studies
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
ROC Curve
Tomography, X-Ray Computed