AIMC Topic: Forecasting

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Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns: a disaggregated analysis of the role of uncertainty and geopolitical risk.

Environmental science and pollution research international
We contribute to the empirical literature on the predictability of oil-market volatility by comparing the predictive role of aggregate versus several disaggregated metrics of policy-related and equity-market uncertainties of the USA and geopolitical ...

Probabilistic Maritime Trajectory Prediction in Complex Scenarios Using Deep Learning.

Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
Maritime activity is expected to increase, and therefore also the need for maritime surveillance and safety. Most ships are obligated to identify themselves with a transponder system like the Automatic Identification System (AIS) and ships that do no...

A hybrid Neural Network-SEIR model for forecasting intensive care occupancy in Switzerland during COVID-19 epidemics.

PloS one
Anticipating intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy is critical in supporting decision makers to impose (or relax) measures that mitigate COVID-19 transmission. Mechanistic approaches such as Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models have traditionall...

Optimization Method for Energy Saving of Rural Architectures in Hot Summer and Cold Winter Areas Based on Artificial Neural Network.

Computational intelligence and neuroscience
With the phased spatial planning of the rural revitalization strategy, the proportion of architecture energy consumption in the overall social energy consumption is also increasing year by year. Considering the hot summer and cold winter areas, the p...

Multi-step wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid decomposition technique and an improved back-propagation neural network.

Environmental science and pollution research international
Accurate wind speed forecasting (WSF) not only ensures stable power system operation but also contributes to enhancing the competitiveness of wind power companies in the market. In this paper, a hybrid prediction model based on secondary decompositio...

Applications of machine learning in routine laboratory medicine: Current state and future directions.

Clinical biochemistry
Machine learning is able to leverage large amounts of data to infer complex patterns that are otherwise beyond the capabilities of rule-based systems and human experts. Its application to laboratory medicine is particularly exciting, as laboratory te...

Identifying climate thresholds for dominant natural vegetation types at the global scale using machine learning: Average climate versus extremes.

Global change biology
The global distribution of vegetation is largely determined by climatic conditions and feeds back into the climate system. To predict future vegetation changes in response to climate change, it is crucial to identify and understand key patterns and p...

Prediction of clinical trial enrollment rates.

PloS one
Clinical trials represent a critical milestone of translational and clinical sciences. However, poor recruitment to clinical trials has been a long standing problem affecting institutions all over the world. One way to reduce the cost incurred by ins...

Forecasting COVID-19 new cases using deep learning methods.

Computers in biology and medicine
After nearly two years since the first identification of SARS-CoV-2 virus, the surge in cases because of virus mutations is a cause of grave public health concern across the globe. As a result of this health crisis, predicting the transmission patter...

Development of AI-driven prediction models to realize real-time tumor tracking during radiotherapy.

Radiation oncology (London, England)
BACKGROUND: In infrared reflective (IR) marker-based hybrid real-time tumor tracking (RTTT), the internal target position is predicted with the positions of IR markers attached on the patient's body surface using a prediction model. In this work, we ...