AIMC Topic: Causality

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Machine Learning for Causal Inference: On the Use of Cross-fit Estimators.

Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)
BACKGROUND: Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly robust cross-fit estimators have been prop...

Reflection on modern methods: generalized linear models for prognosis and intervention-theory, practice and implications for machine learning.

International journal of epidemiology
Prediction and causal explanation are fundamentally distinct tasks of data analysis. In health applications, this difference can be understood in terms of the difference between prognosis (prediction) and prevention/treatment (causal explanation). Ne...

Reflection on modern methods: when worlds collide-prediction, machine learning and causal inference.

International journal of epidemiology
Causal inference requires theory and prior knowledge to structure analyses, and is not usually thought of as an arena for the application of prediction modelling. However, contemporary causal inference methods, premised on counterfactual or potential...

Regulatory oversight, causal inference, and safe and effective health care machine learning.

Biostatistics (Oxford, England)
In recent years, the applications of Machine Learning (ML) in the health care delivery setting have grown to become both abundant and compelling. Regulators have taken notice of these developments and the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has b...

Machine learning in the estimation of causal effects: targeted minimum loss-based estimation and double/debiased machine learning.

Biostatistics (Oxford, England)
In recent decades, the fields of statistical and machine learning have seen a revolution in the development of data-adaptive regression methods that have optimal performance under flexible, sometimes minimal, assumptions on the true regression functi...