AIMC Topic: Probability

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Machine learning-enhanced normal tissue complication probability modeling for late sciatic nerve toxicity prediction in carbon-ion radiotherapy: model development and clinical validation.

Physics in medicine and biology
To develop a machine learning-enhanced normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model for predicting late sciatic nerve toxicity (LSNT) in sacrococcygeal chordoma (SC) and locally recurrent rectal cancer (LRRC) patients undergoing carbon-ion rad...

A machine learning framework for estimating the probability of blacklegged tick population establishment in eastern Canada using Earth observation data.

PloS one
Ixodes scapularis ticks are the primary vector of Lyme disease (LD) in North America, and their range has expanded into southeastern and southcentral Canada with climate change. This study presents a comprehensive machine learning (ML) framework to e...

Token Probabilities to Mitigate Large Language Models Overconfidence in Answering Medical Questions: Quantitative Study.

Journal of medical Internet research
BACKGROUND: Chatbots have demonstrated promising capabilities in medicine, scoring passing grades for board examinations across various specialties. However, their tendency to express high levels of confidence in their responses, even when incorrect,...

Probability-Based Early Warning for Seasonal Influenza in China: Model Development Study.

JMIR medical informatics
BACKGROUND: Seasonal influenza is a major global public health concern, leading to escalated morbidity and mortality rates. Traditional early warning models rely on binary (0/1) classification methods, which issue alerts only when predefined threshol...

Groundwater health probability risk prediction through oral intake using advanced optimization methods.

Journal of contaminant hydrology
Examining the cancer risk associated with oral groundwater (GW) intake is crucial, particularly in regions heavily reliant on GW for human consumption and agriculture. The study was based on real field investigations and controlled laboratory experim...

Kernel-free quadratic surface SVM for conditional probability estimation in imbalanced multi-class classification.

Neural networks : the official journal of the International Neural Network Society
For the multi-class classification problems, we propose a new probabilistic output classifier called kernel-free quadratic surface support vector machine for conditional probability estimation (CPSQSVM), which is based on a newly developed binary cla...

Multi-Granularity Autoformer for long-term deterministic and probabilistic power load forecasting.

Neural networks : the official journal of the International Neural Network Society
Long-term power load forecasting is critical for power system planning but is constrained by intricate temporal patterns. Transformer-based models emphasize modeling long- and short-term dependencies yet encounter limitations from complexity and para...

Machine learning for predictive mapping of exceedance probabilities for potentially toxic elements in Czech farmland.

Journal of environmental management
For efficient decision-making and optimal land management trajectories, information on soil properties in relation to safety guidelines should be processed from point inventories to surface predictive maps. For large-scale predictive mapping, very fe...

Deep one-class probability learning for end-to-end image classification.

Neural networks : the official journal of the International Neural Network Society
One-class learning has many application potentials in novelty, anomaly, and outlier detection systems. It aims to distinguish both positive and negative samples with a model trained via only positive samples or one-class annotated samples. With the d...

CreINNs: Credal-Set Interval Neural Networks for Uncertainty Estimation in Classification Tasks.

Neural networks : the official journal of the International Neural Network Society
Effective uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly attractive for enhancing the reliability of neural networks. This work presents a novel approach, termed Credal-Set Interval Neural Networks (CreINNs), for classification. CreINNs retain the f...