AIMC Topic: Epidemiologic Methods

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Validating estimates of prevalence of non-communicable diseases based on household surveys: the symptomatic diagnosis study.

BMC medicine
BACKGROUND: Easy-to-collect epidemiological information is critical for the more accurate estimation of the prevalence and burden of different non-communicable diseases around the world. Current measurement is restricted by limitations in existing me...

Improving propensity score estimators' robustness to model misspecification using super learner.

American journal of epidemiology
The consistency of propensity score (PS) estimators relies on correct specification of the PS model. The PS is frequently estimated using main-effects logistic regression. However, the underlying model assumptions may not hold. Machine learning metho...

Invited commentary: deep learning-methods to amplify epidemiologic data collection and analyses.

American journal of epidemiology
Deep learning is a subfield of artificial intelligence and machine learning, based mostly on neural networks and often combined with attention algorithms, that has been used to detect and identify objects in text, audio, images, and video. Serghiou a...

Harnessing causal forests for epidemiologic research: key considerations.

American journal of epidemiology
Assessing heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is an essential task in epidemiology. The recent integration of machine learning into causal inference has provided a new, flexible tool for evaluating complex HTEs: causal forest. In a recent paper, J...

Thirteen Questions About Using Machine Learning in Causal Research (You Won't Believe the Answer to Number 10!).

American journal of epidemiology
Machine learning is gaining prominence in the health sciences, where much of its use has focused on data-driven prediction. However, machine learning can also be embedded within causal analyses, potentially reducing biases arising from model misspeci...

STAN: spatio-temporal attention network for pandemic prediction using real-world evidence.

Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA
OBJECTIVE: We aim to develop a hybrid model for earlier and more accurate predictions for the number of infected cases in pandemics by (1) using patients' claims data from different counties and states that capture local disease status and medical re...

Intersections of machine learning and epidemiological methods for health services research.

International journal of epidemiology
The field of health services research is broad and seeks to answer questions about the health care system. It is inherently interdisciplinary, and epidemiologists have made crucial contributions. Parametric regression techniques remain standard pract...

Estimation of COVID-19 epidemic curves using genetic programming algorithm.

Health informatics journal
This paper investigates the possibility of the implementation of Genetic Programming (GP) algorithm on a publicly available COVID-19 data set, in order to obtain mathematical models which could be used for estimation of confirmed, deceased, and recov...

Application of a long short-term memory neural network: a burgeoning method of deep learning in forecasting HIV incidence in Guangxi, China.

Epidemiology and infection
Guangxi, a province in southwestern China, has the second highest reported number of HIV/AIDS cases in China. This study aimed to develop an accurate and effective model to describe the tendency of HIV and to predict its incidence in Guangxi. HIV inc...