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Epidemiologic Methods

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Dynamical footprints enable detection of disease emergence.

PLoS biology
Developing methods for anticipating the emergence or reemergence of infectious diseases is both important and timely; however, traditional model-based approaches are stymied by uncertainty surrounding the underlying drivers. Here, we demonstrate an o...

Estimation of COVID-19 epidemic curves using genetic programming algorithm.

Health informatics journal
This paper investigates the possibility of the implementation of Genetic Programming (GP) algorithm on a publicly available COVID-19 data set, in order to obtain mathematical models which could be used for estimation of confirmed, deceased, and recov...

Intersections of machine learning and epidemiological methods for health services research.

International journal of epidemiology
The field of health services research is broad and seeks to answer questions about the health care system. It is inherently interdisciplinary, and epidemiologists have made crucial contributions. Parametric regression techniques remain standard pract...

STAN: spatio-temporal attention network for pandemic prediction using real-world evidence.

Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA
OBJECTIVE: We aim to develop a hybrid model for earlier and more accurate predictions for the number of infected cases in pandemics by (1) using patients' claims data from different counties and states that capture local disease status and medical re...

Thirteen Questions About Using Machine Learning in Causal Research (You Won't Believe the Answer to Number 10!).

American journal of epidemiology
Machine learning is gaining prominence in the health sciences, where much of its use has focused on data-driven prediction. However, machine learning can also be embedded within causal analyses, potentially reducing biases arising from model misspeci...

Predictive value of a novel Asian lung cancer screening nomogram based on artificial intelligence and epidemiological characteristics.

Thoracic cancer
BACKGROUND: To develop and validate a risk prediction nomogram based on a deep learning convolutional neural networks (CNN) model and epidemiological characteristics for lung cancer screening in patients with small pulmonary nodules (SPN).

Harnessing causal forests for epidemiologic research: key considerations.

American journal of epidemiology
Assessing heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is an essential task in epidemiology. The recent integration of machine learning into causal inference has provided a new, flexible tool for evaluating complex HTEs: causal forest. In a recent paper, J...

Don't Let Your Analysis Go to Seed: On the Impact of Random Seed on Machine Learning-based Causal Inference.

Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)
Machine learning techniques for causal effect estimation can enhance the reliability of epidemiologic analyses, reducing their dependence on correct model specifications. However, the stochastic nature of many machine learning algorithms implies that...

Machine learning in causal inference for epidemiology.

European journal of epidemiology
In causal inference, parametric models are usually employed to address causal questions estimating the effect of interest. However, parametric models rely on the correct model specification assumption that, if not met, leads to biased effect estimate...

Invited commentary: deep learning-methods to amplify epidemiologic data collection and analyses.

American journal of epidemiology
Deep learning is a subfield of artificial intelligence and machine learning, based mostly on neural networks and often combined with attention algorithms, that has been used to detect and identify objects in text, audio, images, and video. Serghiou a...