AIMC Topic: Epidemics

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Predicting malaria epidemics in Burkina Faso with machine learning.

PloS one
Accurately forecasting the case rate of malaria would enable key decision makers to intervene months before the onset of any outbreak, potentially saving lives. Until now, methods that forecast malaria have involved complicated numerical simulations ...

Assessing the Outbreak Risk of Epidemics Using Fuzzy Evidential Reasoning.

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
Epidemic diseases (EDs) present a significant but challenging risk endangering public health, evidenced by the outbreak of COVID-19. Compared to other risks affecting public health such as flooding, EDs attract little attention in terms of risk asses...

A deep learning based surrogate model for the parameter identification problem in probabilistic cellular automaton epidemic models.

Computer methods and programs in biomedicine
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: an accurate estimation of the epidemiological model coefficients helps understand the basic principles of disease spreading. Some studies showed that dozens of hours are needed to simulate the traditional probabilistic cellu...

Network inference from population-level observation of epidemics.

Scientific reports
Using the continuous-time susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on networks, we investigate the problem of inferring the class of the underlying network when epidemic data is only available at population-level (i.e., the number of infected ind...

Dynamics and Development of the COVID-19 Epidemic in the United States: A Compartmental Model Enhanced With Deep Learning Techniques.

Journal of medical Internet research
BACKGROUND: Compartmental models dominate epidemic modeling. Transmission parameters between compartments are typically estimated through stochastic parameterization processes that depends on detailed statistics of transmission characteristics, which...

Research of Epidemic Big Data Based on Improved Deep Convolutional Neural Network.

Computational and mathematical methods in medicine
In recent years, with the acceleration of the aging process and the aggravation of life pressure, the proportion of chronic epidemics has gradually increased. A large amount of medical data will be generated during the hospitalization of diabetics. I...

Predicting dengue importation into Europe, using machine learning and model-agnostic methods.

Scientific reports
The geographical spread of dengue is a global public health concern. This is largely mediated by the importation of dengue from endemic to non-endemic areas via the increasing connectivity of the global air transport network. The dynamic nature and i...

Forecasting tuberculosis using diabetes-related google trends data.

Pathogens and global health
Online activity-based data can be used to aid infectious disease forecasting. Our aim was to exploit the converging nature of the tuberculosis (TB) and diabetes epidemics to forecast TB case numbers. Thus, we extended TB prediction models based on tr...

Modeling the trend of coronavirus disease 2019 and restoration of operational capability of metropolitan medical service in China: a machine learning and mathematical model-based analysis.

Global health research and policy
BACKGROUND: To contain the outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China, many unprecedented intervention measures are adopted by the government. However, these measures may interfere in the normal medical service. We sought to model the t...