AIMC Topic: Disease Outbreaks

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Predictiveness and drivers of highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in Europe.

Scientific reports
Avian Influenza (AI) outbreaks are on an increasing trajectory. This disease carries a substantial economic burden, resulting in considerable losses to farmers with profound impacts on economies. As the outbreaks continue in birds and other unusual h...

The role of artificial intelligence for dengue prevention, control, and management: A technical narrative review.

Acta tropica
Dengue fever remains a significant global health threat, particularly in tropical and subtropical regions, where rapid urbanization and climate variability exacerbate its spread. Traditional surveillance and control systems often struggle with delaye...

Mapping global risk of bat and rodent borne disease outbreaks to anticipate emerging threats.

Scientific reports
Future epidemics and/or pandemics may likely arise from zoonotic viruses with bat- and rodent-borne pathogens being among the prime candidates. To improve preparedness and prevention strategies, we predicted the global distribution of bat- and rodent...

Combining machine learning and dynamic system techniques to early detection of respiratory outbreaks in routinely collected primary healthcare records.

BMC medical research methodology
BACKGROUND: Methods that enable early outbreak detection represent powerful tools in epidemiological surveillance, allowing adequate planning and timely response to disease surges. Syndromic surveillance data collected from primary healthcare encount...

The spatiotemporal ecology of Oropouche virus across Latin America: a multidisciplinary, laboratory-based, modelling study.

The Lancet. Infectious diseases
BACKGROUND: Latin America has been experiencing an Oropouche virus (OROV) outbreak of unprecedented magnitude and spread since 2023-24 for unknown reasons. We aimed to identify risk predictors of and areas at risk for OROV transmission.

Analyzing the impact of COVID-19 on seasonal infectious disease outbreak detection using hybrid SARIMAX-LSTM model.

Journal of infection and public health
BACKGROUND: This study estimates the incidence of seasonal infectious diseases, including influenza, norovirus, severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), and tsutsugamushi disease, in the Republic of Korea from 2005 to 2023. It also examine...

Refining early detection of Marburg Virus Disease (MVD) in Rwanda: Leveraging predictive symptom clusters to enhance case definitions.

International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases
BACKGROUND: Marburg Virus Disease (MVD) poses a significant global health risk due to its high case fatality rates (24%-88%) and the diagnostic challenges posed by its nonspecific early symptoms, which overlap with other febrile illnesses like malari...

Explainable AI for Symptom-Based Detection of Monkeypox: a machine learning approach.

BMC infectious diseases
BACKGROUND: Monkeypox, a viral zoonotic disease, is an emerging global health concern, with rising incidence and outbreaks extending beyond its endemic regions in Central and, West Africa and the world. The disease transmits through contact with infe...

Developing cholera outbreak forecasting through qualitative dynamics: Insights into Malawi case study.

Journal of theoretical biology
Cholera, an acute diarrheal disease, is a serious concern in developing and underdeveloped areas. A qualitative understanding of cholera epidemics aims to foresee transmission patterns based on reported data and mechanistic models. The mechanistic mo...

CEL: A Continual Learning Model for Disease Outbreak Prediction by Leveraging Domain Adaptation via Elastic Weight Consolidation.

Interdisciplinary sciences, computational life sciences
Continual learning is the ability of a model to learn over time without forgetting previous knowledge. Therefore, adapting new data in dynamic fields like disease outbreak prediction is paramount. Deep neural networks are prone to error due to catast...