AIMC Topic: Forecasting

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Improving outbreak forecasts through model augmentation.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Accurate forecasts of disease outbreaks are critical for effective public health responses, management of healthcare surge capacity, and communication of public risk. There are a growing number of powerful forecasting methods that fall into two broad...

Assessing User Engagement With an Interactive Mapping Dashboard for Overdose Prevention Informed by Predictive Modeling in Rhode Island.

Journal of public health management and practice : JPHMP
CONTEXT: Predictive modeling can identify neighborhoods at elevated risk of future overdose death and may assist community organizations' decisions about harm reduction resource allocation. In Rhode Island, PROVIDENT is a research initiative and rand...

A physically informed domain-independent data-driven inundation forecast model.

Water research
Inundation maps with spatial and temporal distribution of the water depths are essential for protecting the population in case of pluvial flood events. Creating these maps in operational forecasting is currently not possible with traditional physical...

A scoping review of future research trends and priorities in health systems.

Health research policy and systems
BACKGROUND: Health systems worldwide are increasingly influenced by rapid and complex changes across various domains. Anticipating and responding to these changes is critical to ensuring the sustainability and effectiveness of health systems. Future-...

A comparative evaluation of multiple machine learning approaches for forecasting dengue outbreaks in Bangladesh.

Scientific reports
This study aims to forecast dengue incidence in Bangladesh by applying and comparing machine learning techniques. Dengue surveillance data from January 1, 2022, to December 1, 2023, for five divisions of Bangladesh was obtained from the Directorate G...

Application of the adaptive sparrow search algorithm in medical supply engineering.

Scientific reports
To enhance the cost-effectiveness of vascular robotic systems in clinical settings, this study constructs an integrated forecasting-optimization framework for long-term resource planning. A weekly demand forecasting model is developed using the SARIM...

Machine learning framework for forecasting air pollution: Evaluating seasonal and climatic influences in Istanbul, Turkey.

PloS one
Air pollution, driven by seasonal and meteorological variations, poses a significant threat to public health and urban sustainability. Despite numerous forecasting approaches, the influence of seasonal patterns on air pollutant levels remains underex...

Conventional and hybrid time series models for forecasting medication dispensing and errors integration in automated dispensing cabinets.

Scientific reports
Automated dispensing cabinets (ADCs) represent a critical innovation in modern healthcare, revolutionizing medication management by improving efficiency, accuracy, and security. With the increasing reliance on these technologies, optimizing their per...

Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Risk Prediction in Southern China: Time Series Study Integrating Web-Based Search and Epidemiological Surveillance Data.

JMIR infodemiology
BACKGROUND: Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a global health concern requiring a risk assessment framework based on systematic factors analysis for prevention and control.

TIC-FusionNet: A multimodal deep learning framework with temporal decomposition and attention-based fusion for time series forecasting.

PloS one
We propose TIC-FusionNet, a trend-aware multimodal deep learning framework for time series forecasting with integrated visual signal analysis, aimed at addressing the limitations of unimodal and short-range dependency models in noisy financial enviro...