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Epidemiological Models

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The predictive skill of convolutional neural networks models for disease forecasting.

PloS one
In this paper we investigate the utility of one-dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) models in epidemiological forecasting. Deep learning models, in particular variants of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been studied for ILI (Influenz...

Estimating severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome transmission using machine learning methods in South Korea.

Scientific reports
Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging tick-borne infectious disease in China, Japan, and Korea. This study aimed to estimate the monthly SFTS occurrence and the monthly number of SFTS cases in the geographical area in Kore...

Comparison of Machine Learning Techniques for Mortality Prediction in a Prospective Cohort of Older Adults.

International journal of environmental research and public health
As global demographics change, ageing is a global phenomenon which is increasingly of interest in our modern and rapidly changing society. Thus, the application of proper prognostic indices in clinical decisions regarding mortality prediction has ass...

Optimizing hepatitis B virus screening in the United States using a simple demographics-based model.

Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.)
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) affects >290 million persons globally, and only 10% have been diagnosed, presenting a severe gap that must be addressed. We developed logistic regression (LR) and machine learning (ML; random forest) mod...

Deep learning via LSTM models for COVID-19 infection forecasting in India.

PloS one
The COVID-19 pandemic continues to have major impact to health and medical infrastructure, economy, and agriculture. Prominent computational and mathematical models have been unreliable due to the complexity of the spread of infections. Moreover, lac...

Construction of Influenza Early Warning Model Based on Combinatorial Judgment Classifier: A Case Study of Seasonal Influenza in Hong Kong.

Current medical science
OBJECTIVE: The annual influenza epidemic is a heavy burden on the health care system, and has increasingly become a major public health problem in some areas, such as Hong Kong (China). Therefore, based on a variety of machine learning methods, and c...

Combining graph neural networks and spatio-temporal disease models to improve the prediction of weekly COVID-19 cases in Germany.

Scientific reports
During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage healthcare resou...