AIMC Topic: Incidence

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Burden and risk factors of depression in seniors from 1990 to 2021: a multi-database study based on EMR mining methods.

Translational psychiatry
Depression in seniors is a growing public health concern worldwide. Despite the rising prevalence of depression in this demographic, comprehensive data on its burden and trends over an extended period remain limited. This study aims to assess the tre...

Incidence and severity of aortic stenosis according to machine learning predicted risk of atrial fibrillation.

Scientific reports
Atrial fibrillation (AF) and aortic stenosis (AS) are two common progressive conditions affecting older persons that share pathobiological pathways. Early detection of AS is critical for improving outcomes, but no prediction tool exists to inform dec...

Variables for habitat and vertebrate hosts of Ixodes scapularis are the best ecological predictors of the spatial spread of Lyme disease in the United States (2010-2019).

Parasites & vectors
BACKGROUND: Lyme disease (LD) is a major public health concern in North America. The incidence of LD has increased in part due to the rapid expansion of Ixodes scapularis infected with Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato (Bb), the causative agent of LD. ...

Determinants of malaria transmission in Indian districts in 2018: insights from ensemble models.

Malaria journal
BACKGROUND: The National Framework for Malaria Elimination, formulated in 2016, aims to eliminate malaria in India by 2030, focusing on the districts as the strategic units for planning and implementing intervention measures. In this study, the spati...

A comparative evaluation of multiple machine learning approaches for forecasting dengue outbreaks in Bangladesh.

Scientific reports
This study aims to forecast dengue incidence in Bangladesh by applying and comparing machine learning techniques. Dengue surveillance data from January 1, 2022, to December 1, 2023, for five divisions of Bangladesh was obtained from the Directorate G...

Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Risk Prediction in Southern China: Time Series Study Integrating Web-Based Search and Epidemiological Surveillance Data.

JMIR infodemiology
BACKGROUND: Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a global health concern requiring a risk assessment framework based on systematic factors analysis for prevention and control.

Temporal trends and machine learning prediction of depressive symptoms among Chinese middle-aged and elderly individuals: a national cohort study.

BMC public health
BACKGROUND: The prevalence of depression symptoms, the third most disabling disease worldwide, is as high as 11.5%-21.1% in China's middle-aged and elderly population and increases significantly with age. It is crucial to identify high-risk groups ef...

Causal inference unveils how forest coverage mitigates excess snakebite cases during rainfall seasons in Colombia.

Scientific reports
Snakebite envenoming is a neglected tropical disease that affects mainly rural populations, where antivenom is scarce. Understanding environmental drivers of snakebite incidence is critical for public health preparedness. This study employs causal in...

Machine-learning approach to atrial fibrillation prediction among individuals without prior cardiovascular diseases.

Open heart
BACKGROUND: There is a lack of atrial fibrillation (AF) prediction models tailored for individuals without prior cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) to facilitate early intervention. This study aimed to develop and validate an AF prediction model using ma...

Development and validation of a predictive model for new HIV infection screening among persons 15 years and above in primary healthcare settings in Kenya: a study protocol.

BMJ health & care informatics
INTRODUCTION: This study seeks to determine incidence, comorbidities and drivers for new HIV infections to develop, test and validate a risk prediction model for screening for new cases of HIV.