AIMC Topic: Incidence

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Changes in Epidemiological Characteristics of Varicella and Breakthrough Cases in Ningbo, China, From 2010 to 2023: Surveillance Study.

JMIR public health and surveillance
BACKGROUND: Varicella is a prevalent respiratory infectious disease. Continuous monitoring is essential to understand evolving epidemiological patterns, particularly given the impact of vaccination and recent nonpharmacological interventions.

Maximizing Lung Cancer Screening in High-Risk Population Leveraging ML-Developed Risk-Prediction Algorithms: Danish Retrospective Validation of LungFlag.

Clinical lung cancer
BACKGROUND: Early detection of lung cancer (LC) is crucial for curative treatment, but current screening methods face challenges due to high costs and poor adherence. Artificial intelligence tools, such as the LungFlag model, uses routine clinical da...

Machine-learning model for predicting left atrial thrombus in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation.

BMC cardiovascular disorders
OBJECTIVE: Left atrial thrombus (LAT) poses a significant risk for stroke and other thromboembolic complication in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to evaluate the incidence and predictors of LAT in patients with paroxysmal AF...

Epidemiological association and machine learning-based prediction of lung cancer risk linked to long-term lagged satellite-derived PM in China.

Frontiers in public health
OBJECTIVES: This study investigated association between long-term PM exposure and lung cancer incidence, focusing on Jiangsu Province, China. We aimed to explore the effects of historical PM with time lags and build a prediction model using machine l...

Spatiotemporal patterns and climate-induced macroeconomic burden of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa.

BMC public health
BACKGROUND: The global malaria burden is characterized by economic, geographical, and climatic disparities, especially in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Moreover, meteorological factors have become increasingly important to understand the malaria burden i...

Associations of greenhouse gases, air pollutants and dynamics of scrub typhus incidence in China: a nationwide time-series study.

BMC public health
BACKGROUND: Environmental factors have been identified as significant risk factors for scrub typhus. However, the impact of inorganic compounds such as greenhouse gases and air pollutants on the incidence of scrub typhus has not been evaluated.

Forecasting malaria cases using climate variability in Sierra Leone.

Malaria journal
BACKGROUND: Malaria continues to pose a public health challenge in Sierra Leone, where timely and accurate forecasting can guide more effective interventions. Although seasonal models such as Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA)...

Global burden of vertebral fractures from 1990 to 2021 and projections for the next three decades.

Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research
BACKGROUND: Vertebral fractures are linked to significant disability and mortality risks. Yet, existing studies on their global burden are outdated and lack predictive foresight.

Associations between the 24-h Activity Daily Cycle and Incident Dementia.

Medicine and science in sports and exercise
BACKGROUND: Physical activity, sedentary behavior (SB), and sleep all impact the risk of incident dementia, however, engagement in these activities is constrained by the 24-h day. Increasing time spent in one activity necessarily reduces time spent i...

Global burden of non-melanoma skin cancers among older adults: a comprehensive analysis using machine learning approaches.

Scientific reports
Non-melanoma skin cancers (NMSCs), including basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), have shown significant global increases in burden, particularly among older adults, with wide regional, gender, and socio-demographic dispariti...